Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.07) 
