Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
32.43% ( -0.01)	26.31% ( 0.01)	41.26% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

-0.02)

52.07% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-0.02)

73.8% (

0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

-0.02)

30.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

-0.02)

66.22% (

0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

-0.01)

24.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.46% (

-0.01)

59.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 32.43%

Flamengo 41.26%

Draw 26.3%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.43%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.26%