Furacao have conceded a goal or fewer in eight consecutive home matches in all competitions, and while they are one of the few teams who hold a victory against Palmeiras this season, their inconsistent form of late makes it difficult for us to see them as the clear winners in this contest.
It appears as though it will take something special to beat this Palestra side, who look as hungry and determined as ever to win it all once again, while they have reacted well in the face of adversity and always seem to find another gear.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
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