Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Avai had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.48%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
