The morale boost from midweek events should lift both sides for the occasion, but neither is likely to give too much away ahead of their two-legged Libertadores tie in the coming weeks.
Despite benefiting from home advantage, Corinthians are still short of quality up front, so may be forced to settle for a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
0.21) 
-0.08) 
