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C
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
F

Corinthians
0 - 2
Flamengo


Cantillo (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De Arrascaeta (37'), Barbosa (51')
Maia (12'), Rodinei (22')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-2 Flamengo

Tuesday's game sees two domestic rivals who are quite familiar with each other lock horns and this makes for an entertaining and exciting watch. While Corinthians and Flamengo both head into Tuesday in solid form, we are backing the visitors to do just enough to leave with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
30.1% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 43.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (0.1 0.1)52.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09)73.99% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.063000000000002 0.06)31.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (0.074000000000002 0.07)68.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.046999999999997 0.05)23.77% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07% (0.068000000000005 0.07)57.93% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 30.1%
    Flamengo 43.73%
    Draw 26.16%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.1%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 28 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Corinthians
Sunday, July 24 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 4-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 28 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil


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