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A
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio da Ressacada
S

Avai
1 - 0
Santos

Bissoli (10' pen.)
Silva (16'), Cortez (16'), Eduardo (40'), Raniele (65'), Bissoli (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leonardo (27'), Baptistao (56'), Eduardo (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Avai
Saturday, July 9 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Avai 0-2 Santos

While Avai will be seeking to steer clear of the drop zone, next up is the stern test of facing a resurgent Santos side who are unbeaten in each of their last eight meetings. Santos appears to have hit their stride once again and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avai in this match.

Result
AvaiDrawSantos
40.62% (-0.165 -0.16) 28.9% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 30.48% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 44.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.85% (-0.144 -0.14)62.14% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (-0.105 -0.11)81.84% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (-0.167 -0.17)30.01% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (-0.204 -0.2)66.14% (0.206 0.21)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Avai 40.62%
    Santos 30.47%
    Draw 28.88%
AvaiDrawSantos
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 30.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Avai
Saturday, July 9 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Tachira (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Santos
Saturday, June 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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