SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Fortaleza |
48.35% ( -0.47) | 27.67% ( 0.15) | 23.97% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.25) | 61.16% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% ( -0.18) | 81.11% ( 0.19) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( -0.33) | 25.47% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -0.46) | 60.3% ( 0.46) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.27% ( 0.17) | 41.73% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.8% ( 0.15) | 78.2% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahia | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 14.53% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 48.35% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.97% |
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