Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Bahia
56.29% ( 0.59)	22.92% ( -0.22)	20.8% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66% (

0.49)

46.34% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.38% (

0.46)

68.62% (

-0.46)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

0.38)

16.27% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.19% (

0.68)

45.81% (

-0.68)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.56% (

-0.08)

36.44% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78% (

-0.08)

73.22% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Gremio 56.28%

Bahia 20.8%

Draw 22.91%

Gremio	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.28%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.91%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.8%