Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.06) 
