Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
