SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Cruzeiro |
21.38% ( -0.35) | 25.29% ( -0.27) | 53.33% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( 0.63) | 55.11% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% ( 0.52) | 76.36% ( -0.51) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.16% ( 0.01) | 40.84% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.58% ( 0) | 77.42% ( 0) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 0.52) | 20.68% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.73% ( 0.8) | 53.27% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coritiba | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.38% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.49% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.33% |
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