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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 22, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
VD

Cruzeiro
2 - 2
Vasco

Arthur (41'), Rodrigues (45+9' pen.)
Arthur (26')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Luis Rodriguez (15'), Pec (77')
Rossi (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, November 18 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Cruzeiro 1-1 Vasco da Gama

Both teams will see this game as an ideal time to secure three points to try to push away from the relegation zone, but considering their league positions it will likely be a tense fixture. Considering how little there is to split them in the table and throughout the campaign, it would not be a surprise to see a cautious draw played out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawVasco da Gama
48.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.55%24.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)77.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.38%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)38.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.2% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 48.63%
    Vasco da Gama 24.82%
    Draw 26.54%
CruzeiroDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.63%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cruzeiro
Saturday, November 18 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Cruzeiro
Saturday, November 11 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-2 Internacional
Sunday, November 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, November 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia
Thursday, October 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Vasco
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, October 29 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-2 Internacional
Thursday, October 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, October 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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