Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.02) 
