Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
1.88) 
-0.24) 
