Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
2.48) 
-1.04) 
