Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for General Caballero JLM had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest General Caballero JLM win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.