Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
