Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.02) 
