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C
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 16, 2022 at 12am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
F

Corinthians
3 - 0
Fluminense

Augusto (34'), Giuliano (90+1'), Melo (90+4' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nathan (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-1 Fluminense (Corinthians advance on penalties)

The deciding match of this tie will be a challenging game to call seeing as one team is sharp in the attack, while the other is stingy along the backline. We are giving the home side a slight edge because of their impressive form at Corinthians Arena, though in reality this match could go either way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFluminense
45.03% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 27.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.4% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.19% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)58.81% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)79.32% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96%26.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)37.36% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)74.15% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 45.03%
    Fluminense 27.4%
    Draw 27.56%
CorinthiansDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.03%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.73% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 27.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-2 Internacional
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Bragantino
Tuesday, August 30 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 24 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 21 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 4-1 Atletico GO
Thursday, August 18 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, September 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Palmeiras
Saturday, August 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 24 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 5-2 Coritiba
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil


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