The deciding match of this tie will be a challenging game to call seeing as one team is sharp in the attack, while the other is stingy along the backline.
We are giving the home side a slight edge because of their impressive form at Corinthians Arena, though in reality this match could go either way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.