Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0) 
