Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.33) 
