Sao Paulo have some quality attackers, so reversing this 3-1 scoreline is not out of the realm of possibilities. However, Dragao have been underestimated throughout this competition, and we believe they will manage to frustrate the home side for large portions of this match, while still having enough to maintain their advantage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.06%).
0.04) 
-0.17) 
