Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
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