SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Coritiba |
56.59% ( 0.5) | 22.96% ( -0.07) | 20.44% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( -0.23) | 47% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( -0.22) | 69.25% ( 0.21) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( 0.09) | 16.39% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( 0.17) | 46.04% ( -0.18) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.57) | 37.18% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.03% ( -0.57) | 73.97% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| America Mineiro | Draw | Coritiba |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 56.59% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.44% |
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