SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Coritiba |
50.39% ( -0.14) | 24.26% ( -0.02) | 25.36% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( 0.26) | 47.31% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( 0.24) | 69.54% ( -0.24) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% ( 0.05) | 18.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.78% ( 0.07) | 50.22% ( -0.07) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( 0.28) | 32.84% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.59% ( 0.31) | 69.41% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuiaba | Draw | Coritiba |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.36% |
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