Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Goias had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.
