While Fortaleza have drawn five of their nine home games this season, Santos have seen half of their away league matches end all square, and with that in mind, we think the two sides will leave Sunday's encounter with a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.08) 
-0.08) 
