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Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Nov 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
AM

Flamengo
3 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

De Arrascaeta (11'), Barbosa (39', 74')
Sandro (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kardec (80')
Arana (54'), Everson (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawAtletico Mineiro
58.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 23.15% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 17.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.85% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (0.035 0.04)72.98% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.01100000000001 0.01)17.06% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.017000000000003 0.02)47.23% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)42.3% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.3% (0.038 0.04)78.7% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 58.86%
    Atletico Mineiro 17.97%
    Draw 23.15%
FlamengoDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 17.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Flamengo
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-2 Juventude
Saturday, October 26 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, October 20 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 0-2 Fluminense
Friday, October 18 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-2 Flamengo
Saturday, October 5 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, October 3 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.45am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-3 Internacional
Saturday, October 26 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 River Plate
Wednesday, October 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, October 17 at 1.45am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Gremio
Wednesday, October 9 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro


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