Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
-1.7) 
0.53) 
