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Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
I(

Fluminense
2 - 0
Internacional

Cano (25'), Martinelli (40')
Cano (10'), Keno (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

de Pena (50'), Campanharo (69'), Mercado (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fluminense 1-2 Internacional

Perhaps distracted by events surrounding their manager this week, Fluminense could now suffer damaging back-to-back defeats. The hosts' new signings could take time to settle, too, so Internacional are set to improve their modest away record and surpass Flu in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawInternacional
56.5% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 24.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 18.8% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)55.82% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)19.69% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.69% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.92% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.19% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 56.5%
    Internacional 18.8%
    Draw 24.69%
FluminenseDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 14.1%
2-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Fluminense
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Cristal
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, July 2 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Medellin
Wednesday, June 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Internacional
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Internacional
Friday, June 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Vasco
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Internacional
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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