Perhaps distracted by events surrounding their manager this week, Fluminense could now suffer damaging back-to-back defeats. The hosts' new signings could take time to settle, too, so Internacional are set to improve their modest away record and surpass Flu in the standings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
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