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SP
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
F

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Fluminense

Luciano (87')
Neves (55'), Lanza (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Melo (11'), Arias (86')
Arias (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Cristal
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense

Both teams do boast plenty of quality in their ranks, but the hosts are low on confidence having suffered three league defeats recently, while their visitors have their sights set on second, third and fourth spots, and we envisage Diniz's side having what it takes to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
54.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 22.33% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)46.61% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.64% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.026999999999997 0.03)71.37% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 54.45%
    Fluminense 22.33%
    Draw 23.21%
Sao PauloDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 22.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, June 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 5-0 Tolima
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Cristal
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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