Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-0.81) 
0.3) 
