Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.