Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
0.54) 
-0.12) 
