Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.01) 
0.05) 
