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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Beira-Rio
SP

Internacional
3 - 3
Sao Paulo

Henrique (4', 25'), Edenilson (41' pen.)
Moledo (62'), Heitor (64'), Moises (67'), Mercado (90')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Nikao (10', 32'), Luciano (54')
Luciano (28'), Couto (39'), Neves (64'), Rafinha (69'), Luizao (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo
54.5% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.24% (-0.044 -0.04) 21.26% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.208 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (0.239 0.24)51.23% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.207 0.21)73.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (0.087000000000003 0.09)18.7% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (0.145 0.15)50.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.192 0.19)38.76% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (0.181 0.18)75.49% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 54.5%
    Sao Paulo 21.26%
    Draw 24.23%
InternacionalDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 54.5%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 16 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 4-1 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Coritiba
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Catolica
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Catolica 2-4 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana


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