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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
31.56% ( 0.46) | 25.59% ( 0.39) | 42.85% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -1.49) | 49.35% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -1.36) | 71.4% ( 1.36) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -0.44) | 29.3% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( -0.54) | 65.27% ( 0.54) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -1.04) | 22.93% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( -1.55) | 56.69% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.85% |
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