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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
S

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Amiri (69'), Hlozek (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagadou (39'), Fuhrich (61'), Tomas (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

There is little doubt that Leverkusen possess the attacking firepower to hurt Stuttgart, who are still awaiting their first league win on the road this season. As such, we can envisage Alonso's side racking up a third straight victory in the Bundesliga to potentially put serious distance between themselves and the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
66.4% (1.65 1.65) 18.97% (-0.529 -0.53) 14.62% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.103 0.1)39.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.108 0.11)61.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (0.45999999999999 0.46)10.93% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86% (1.013 1.01)35.13% (-1.016 -1.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (-1.411 -1.41)39.29% (1.407 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (-1.344 -1.34)75.99% (1.338 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 66.4%
    Stuttgart 14.62%
    Draw 18.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.76% (0.392 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.293 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.97%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Brugge
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Stuttgart
Friday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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