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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
38.38% ( 1.23) | 23.52% ( 0.02) | 38.09% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% ( -0.04) | 38.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( -0.05) | 60.77% ( 0.05) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( 0.57) | 20.36% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( 0.9) | 52.76% ( -0.9) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.6) | 20.5% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( -0.96) | 52.98% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.64% 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.09% |
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