SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 88.63%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 3.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.19%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
88.63% ( -0.81) | 7.5% ( 0.51) | 3.86% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.73% ( -1.32) | 17.26% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.91% ( -2.01) | 34.08% ( 2.01) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.6% ( -0.27) | 2.39% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88.66% ( -1.02) | 11.33% ( 1.01) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54% ( -0.18) | 45.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.28% ( -0.14) | 81.71% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
| 3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.2)6-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.28)1-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.36)6-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.22)5-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)7-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.18)6-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)8-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.14)Other @ 5.23% Total : 88.63% | 1-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.9% Total : 7.5% | 1-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 3.86% |
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