The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, and we expect both of them to get on the scoresheet. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with the teams having to settle for a point in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
2.77) 
-0.25) 
