With two of the division's three worst defences going head to head at Borussia-Park, goals are surely to be expected, but these huge relegation battles can go one of two ways when predicting goal fests.
Gladbach's front line, in particular Plea, has begun to find its rhythm in recent weeks, so we are predicting for the hosts to come out on top courtesy of their ability to outscore their opponent rather than the potential of putting in an excellent complete performance.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
