SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.26% ( -0.2) | 24.41% ( -0.03) | 28.33% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.27) | 45.83% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.26) | 68.14% ( -0.25) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.02) | 19.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.64% ( 0.04) | 51.36% ( -0.04) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( 0.31) | 29.77% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.16% ( 0.37) | 65.84% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 28.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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