With both sides competing in Europe on Thursday and unlikely to want to lose their unbeaten starts to the domestic season, we can envisage a stalemate on Sunday. These teams both prefer to counter-attack, which may produce a cagey encounter at RheinEnergieStadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Union Berlin
47.26% ( -0.2)	24.41% ( -0.03)	28.33% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 56.55% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

0.27)

45.83% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

0.26)

68.14% (

-0.25)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51% (

0.02)

19.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64% (

0.04)

51.36% (

-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

0.31)

29.77% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

0.37)

65.84% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 47.26%

Union Berlin 28.33%

Draw 24.41%

FC Koln	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 47.26%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 28.33%