SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
33.08% ( -0.08) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 43.63% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.77% ( -0.07) | 38.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.49% ( -0.07) | 60.51% ( 0.07) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.08) | 22.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( -0.11) | 56.77% ( 0.11) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0) | 17.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.23% ( 0.01) | 48.77% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 43.63% |
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