SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Werder Bremen.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
59.73% ( -0.46) | 20.68% ( 0.17) | 19.59% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.36) | 37.91% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.38) | 60.17% ( 0.38) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( -0.24) | 12.38% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.75% ( -0.51) | 38.25% ( 0.5) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.08) | 32.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( 0.09) | 69.36% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.73% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.59% |
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