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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
KL

Frankfurt
1 - 1
FC Koln

Nkounkou (87')
Marmoush (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kainz (43' pen.)
Ljubicic (45+1'), Martel (45+3'), Schmitz (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Levski Sofia
Thursday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln

With both managers having some key players unavailable to choose from, and Frankfurt potentially facing fatigue after having a fixture pile-up already, we can envisage a share of the spoils between these sides on Sunday. Koln will be desperate to avoid losing all three of their league games ahead of the international break, while Frankfurt may be content enough to remain unbeaten in hope of reintegrating Kolo Muani to their starting XI later in September. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFC Koln
54.21% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08) 23.95% (0.43 0.43) 21.83% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-1.82 -1.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.53% (-2.183 -2.18)49.47% (2.182 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.49% (-1.996 -2)71.5% (1.994 1.99)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (-0.834 -0.83)18.15% (0.834 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87% (-1.442 -1.44)49.12% (1.442 1.44)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-1.566 -1.57)37.19% (1.566 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-1.585 -1.59)73.97% (1.583 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 54.21%
    FC Koln 21.83%
    Draw 23.95%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.7 0.7)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 21.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Levski Sofia
Thursday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Levski Sofia 1-1 Frankfurt
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Loko. Leipzig 0-7 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 5 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 FC Koln
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 1-3 FC Koln
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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