Mainz were far from their best when being soundly beaten by Union Berlin last weekend, and we can envisage Frankfurt smelling a bit of blood on Sunday.
They do have a disadvantage having played in Europe on Thursday evening, though, which could help the hosts attain a share of the spoils at least.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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