Having won eight of their 14 home league games this season – conceding just 12 goals along the way – Freiburg look set to strengthen their top-four bid with a comfortable victory over Schalke 04, who are on course to suffer yet another defeat on the road.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
