Having dispatched Bayern Munich before the international break, Bayer Leverkusen look set to end Schalke's unbeaten run on Saturday, although the hosts are expected to put up a decent fight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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