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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
HB

Freiburg
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Grifo (52')
Gulde (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ngankam (77')
Ngankam (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Even without Gregoritsch's towering presence and goalscoring touch in attack, we expect Freiburg to have too much quality for Hertha, who have been wretched on the road all season long. Whether Streich utilises a 3-4-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation is unlikely to matter too much, as his players are comfortable within either system, while their overall goal of a top-four finish looks set to drive them on between now and the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
61.03% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 20.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (0.033000000000001 0.03)40.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.019000000000005 0.02)12.83% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)39.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.56% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 61.03%
    Hertha Berlin 18.2%
    Draw 20.76%
FreiburgDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, March 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, February 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, February 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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